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AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Both Teams to Score in First Half 100% Volume: $128K Liquidity: $383K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
AC Horsens O/U 0.5100%
FC Nordsjælland O/U 0.5100%
AC Horsens 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FC Nordsjælland 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
AC Horsens O/U 1.51%
AC Horsens O/U 2.51%
FC Nordsjælland O/U 1.51%
FC Nordsjælland O/U 2.51%
2nd Half O/U 0.51%
AC Horsens (-1.5)0%
FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)0%
AC Horsens (-2.5)0%
FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
AC Horsens 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FC Nordsjælland 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
AC Horsens 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
AC Horsens 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
FC Nordsjælland 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
FC Nordsjælland 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

AC Horsens and FC Nordsjælland are scheduled to meet in the Denmark Superliga on 26 July 2026, with FC Nordsjælland’s match page confirming the fixture date. The “more markets” contract is therefore a meta-market on whether additional event-specific sub-markets get listed, rather than the match result itself.[1]

A **0% crowd-implied probability** usually means the market is pricing in no expectation that qualifying extra markets will appear before settlement, often because the exchange has not yet shown any eligible entries or because the scope is narrowly defined. In comparable football slates, these markets tend to resolve only if the operator publishes additional props, and programmatic traders typically treat that as a dependency check: poll the event feed, verify market taxonomy, and watch for late-added offerings rather than assuming the main fixture guarantees ancillary markets. The cleanest read is that this is currently a *listing-status* question, not a form guide question.[1]

The main catalysts are operational, not sporting: whether the platform expands the event page with extra props, whether lineups or broadcast notes trigger new derivatives, and whether settlement rules treat a late publication as valid before the window closes at 16:00 UTC. For a power-user running bots or conditional orders, the key is to watch the market catalogue state and refresh intervals, because the contract can move from effectively dead to live if the venue or exchange adds even one eligible “more market” before cutoff.[1]

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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