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LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 75% Match Winner 57% Game 1 Winner 55% First Blood in Game 1? 53% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $776K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?75%
Match Winner57%
Game 1 Winner55%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
O/U 2.5 Games52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Game 2 Winner45%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)27%

Market context

Market consensus: 75% chance of lol: g2 esports vs karmine corp (bo3) - lec regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Es…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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