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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 70% Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) 60% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) 57% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) 55% Volume: $157K Liquidity: $338K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.570%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)60%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)57%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)55%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.541%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)33%
Map 1 Winner28%
Map 2 Winner23%
Match Winner17%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 70% probability to counter-strike: 100 thieves vs spirit (bo3) - blast bounty qualifier. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between 100 Thieves and Spirit in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 26 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "100…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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