Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley | 0% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, itf lexington: lexington reed vs fiona crawley stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Lexington Reed and Fiona Crawley in the ITF Women Lexington, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will r…
Methodology
We track ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →