Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs Gen.G Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 99% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 99% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 99% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 99% |
| Match Winner | 68% |
| Map 2 Winner | 54% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs Gen.G Esports (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gen.G Esports (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 40% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map Handicap: Gen.G (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gen.G Esports (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gen.G Esports (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: global esports vs gen.g esports (bo3) - vct pacific group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Global Esports and Gen.G Esports in the VCT Pacific Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 7:00AM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VC… on Kalshi Fees
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