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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 71% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Volume: $133K Liquidity: $409K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?71%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Match Winner64%
Game 1 Winner61%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?59%
Game 2 Winner57%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%

Market context

The LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 75% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 31 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match ag…

Methodology

We track LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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