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Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves

Live odds for "Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 84% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 73% O/U 8.5 63% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 62% Volume: $319K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.584%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.573%
O/U 8.563%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.562%
NRFI56%
O/U 9.554%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
O/U 10.546%
Spread -1.543%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves42%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.539%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.536%
Spread -2.532%
Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.524%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 84% probability to washington nationals vs. atlanta braves. In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 30 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 84% for "Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 84% Other 16%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $319K.

Methodology

We track Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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