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Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 58% O/U 7.5 53% NRFI 47% Volume: $293K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.573%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.558%
O/U 7.553%
NRFI47%
O/U 8.545%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles44%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.544%
Spread -1.539%
O/U 9.535%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.534%
Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
Spread -2.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.526%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.525%
Spread -2.523%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Market consensus: 73% chance of los angeles angels vs. baltimore orioles. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 5 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Ang…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 73% for "Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% Other 27%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $293K.

Methodology

This page reviews Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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