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Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens

Five-platform snapshot of "Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 8.5 73% Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 21.5 52% Completed Match 50% Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $173K Liquidity: $549K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 8.573%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 21.552%
Completed Match50%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 9.548%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 2 Winner45%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Game Spread +/-3.545%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 22.544%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 23.543%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 1 Winner42%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens41%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.540%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Total Sets: O/U 2.538%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 10.526%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 73% YES probability for Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens. This market refers to the tennis match between Diane Parry and Elise Mertens in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diane Parry' if…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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