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LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Live odds for "LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 95% Volume: $1.9M Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?95%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?76%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 2?39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: team liquid vs shopify rebellion (bo3) - lcs regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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