FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

FC Hradec Králové’s Europa League tie against Tromsø IL was already decided on the pitch in Norway, where Hradec won the first leg 1-0 through a late Mick van Buren goal after Adam Zadražil saved a first-half penalty. That result matters for reading a **100% YES** price on a “more markets” event, because these utility-style market sets are often driven less by match outcome than by whether the fixture generates the standard bundle of side markets the platform expects to list around a live UEFA qualifier.[2][4][6]

For a trader approaching this programmatically, the important comparator is not only the scoreline but the competition context: UEFA confirms the fixture as part of the 2026/27 Europa League qualification round, and the tie format means the second leg carries knockout-state dependencies that can affect which ancillary markets are posted and whether they stay open through settlement.[1][5] In comparable qualifying ties, the market will usually resolve cleanly if the event page publishes the expected market family before the settlement window closes; for a bot or conditional-order workflow, the key variable is the presence of those product definitions rather than in-play volatility.[1][5]

The catalysts to watch are therefore operational: UEFA match listings, final team news, and whether the event remains on schedule within the stated settlement window ending 2026-07-30T17:00:00Z.[1] If the platform is mirroring the live fixture, the decisive signal is the market catalogue appearing on the event page before that cut-off; if the market set is delayed, suspended, or renamed, a copy-trading or rules-based system needs to distinguish between a genuine listing and a temporary metadata change.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.