CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. Club Alianza Lima

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Comerciantes Unidos host Club Alianza Lima in the Peru Liga 1 fixture scheduled for Sunday at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, with kick-off listed at 20:30 local time.[2][3] At the time of writing, the market’s **0% YES** price implies the contract is effectively treating a positive settlement as near-impossible, so a power-user would usually verify whether the event has already been resolved, mis-keyed, or assigned an unexpected settlement rule before sending any automated order flow.

For historical framing, the clearest comparable read comes from the recent head-to-head and match listing, which show this as a live league fixture rather than a speculative or postponed event; FootyStats records a 0–1 final in the meeting, while the match pages identify the same venue and scheduled time.[1][2] In a tooling workflow, that means the first programmatic checks are simple: confirm the fixture state, confirm the result feed, and compare the contract definition against the football data source, because a 0% line is often a signal to inspect data integrity rather than to infer pure match odds.

The main catalysts to watch are the official line-up release, any last-minute postponement or venue change, and whether the settlement engine is keyed to full-time result, a specific market event, or a data-provider status update.[2][3] Recent match listings already anchor the fixture to the stated venue and time, so any divergence in live score services, competition schedules, or provider updates would be the kind of dependency that matters most for conditional orders, copy-trading triggers, and bot-based arb checks.[2][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

We track CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. Club Alianza Lima across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.