Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Team to Take First Corner | 100% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Algeria Corners: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Algeria Corners: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Algeria Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 0% |
Market context
The FIFA World Cup knockout match between Switzerland and Algeria concluded on 3 July 2026 with Switzerland securing a decisive 2-0 victory, eliminating Algeria from the tournament. Breel Embolo and Dan Ndoye scored for Switzerland, who advanced to the Round of 16 after a generally routine performance. The game ended with a total of six corners recorded—four for Switzerland and two for Algeria—falling well below the nine-corner threshold required for the "YES" outcome in the prediction market, which currently sits at 0% probability.
Historically, World Cup knockout games featuring a dominant winner and a defensively suppressed opponent rarely generate high corner counts. In comparable cases, such as Algeria’s 3-3 draw against Austria in the same tournament, corner totals surged due to end-to-end action, but Switzerland’s controlled 2-0 win mirrored low-corner knockout fixtures from past years where one team dictated possession without excessive crossing. The 44%–56% ball possession split and just 11 total attempts (five on target) further confirm the match lacked the chaotic, high-volume crossing necessary to reach nine corners.
Traders evaluating this market programmatically should monitor pre-match crossing statistics, team pressing intensity, and in-game substitution patterns that alter defensive lines. Recent coverage from ESPN UK highlighted Switzerland’s efficient crossing (two of six completed) versus Algeria’s minimal output (one of four), a dependency that directly influenced the low corner tally. Conditional order bots would have flagged this market as low-probability based on real-time possession and attempt data, which consistently underperformed the threshold. No further catalysts remain, as the match has settled and the outcome is final.
Methodology
This page reviews Switzerland vs. Algeria - Total Corners across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Switzerland vs. Algeria - Total Corners on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →