Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Game Hunters (-6.5) vs Yawara Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Game Hunters (-3.5) vs Yawara Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-9.5) vs Game Hunters (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-3.5) vs Game Hunters (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-9.5) vs Game Hunters (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Game Hunters (-3.5) vs Yawara Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-3.5) vs Game Hunters (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: GH (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-6.5) vs Game Hunters (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-6.5) vs Game Hunters (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: yawara esports vs game hunters (bo3) - cct south america series 3 group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Yawara Esports and Game Hunters in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 30 at 9:0…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3)… on Kalshi Fees
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