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Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Match Winner 79% Map 1 Winner 77% Map 2 Winner 72% Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5) 72% Volume: $138K Liquidity: $58K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner79%
Map 1 Winner77%
Map 2 Winner72%
Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)72%
O/U 2.5 Games57%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-3.5) vs OG (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-3.5) vs OG (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 79% YES probability for Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between BC.Game Esports and OG in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market …

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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