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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 87% Game 1 Winner 78% Game 2 Winner 78% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $250K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner87%
Game 1 Winner78%
Game 2 Winner78%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)61%
Any Player Penta Kill56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?55%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
O/U 2.5 Games33%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Market consensus: 87% chance of lol: invictus gaming vs lng esports (bo3) - lpl group nirvana. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 9 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "I…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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