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FK Auda vs. FCSB - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "FK Auda vs. FCSB - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

FK Auda (-1.5) 100% FK Auda (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $16K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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FK Auda vs. FCSB - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FK Auda (-1.5)100%
FK Auda (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FK Auda O/U 0.5100%
FK Auda O/U 1.5100%
FK Auda O/U 2.5100%
FCSB O/U 0.5100%
FK Auda 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
FK Auda 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FK Auda 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FCSB 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Team to Advance100%
FCSB (-1.5)0%
FCSB (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FCSB O/U 1.50%
FCSB O/U 2.50%
FK Auda 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FCSB 1st Half O/U 0.50%
FCSB 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FCSB 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

FK Auda host FCSB in the UEFA Europa Conference League qualifier, with the market on “more markets” already pricing to a **100% YES** close. The clean way to read that is as a tooling event rather than a football-lead event: once a match page is effectively guaranteed to carry additional derivative markets, the edge for power users usually comes from *how* quickly those markets appear and whether the final set includes corners, cards, player props, or live ladders that can be captured by bots or conditional orders.

The historical frame is straightforward. These sides have already met in this tie, with Auda beating FCSB 3-2 away on 23 July, while Auda’s earlier Conference League qualifiers in 2024 and 2025 also produced enough scoreboard movement to keep ancillary markets relevant[3][1]. Comparable cases in UEFA qualifying often see books and exchanges add extra lines once line-ups are confirmed and the first market attracts flow, so a 100% crowd-implied read mainly signals that traders expect the platform to list further instruments rather than betting on match outcome volatility[2][10].

For a programmatic approach, the key catalysts are announcement timing, competition schedule changes, and any late team news that alters market depth. UEFA’s fixture page confirms the match listing, while mainstream live previews show the tie being tracked in real time and line-ups available close to kick-off[10][15][17]. In practice, a bot watching for new market objects would monitor the event feed around line-up release, compare against previous round templates, and trigger only when the additional-market contract becomes visible, because the main risk here is not the game itself but whether the platform exposes the expected market set before settlement[8][17].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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