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North Carolina State vs. Virginia

Comparison of odds and platforms for "North Carolina State vs. Virginia" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Spread: Virginia (-5.5) 100% Spread -4.5 100% Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Volume: $345K Liquidity: $516K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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North Carolina State vs. Virginia

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread: Virginia (-5.5)100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
Spread -21.5100%
Spread -24.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Moneyline100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
Virginia O/U 22.5100%
Virginia O/U 25.5100%
Virginia O/U 28.5100%
Virginia O/U 31.5100%
2H Spread -0.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
Virginia 1H O/U 11.5100%
Virginia 1H O/U 13.5100%
Virginia 1H O/U 15.5100%
Virginia 2H O/U 11.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
Virginia O/U 21.5100%
Virginia O/U 24.5100%
Virginia O/U 27.5100%
Virginia O/U 30.5100%
Virginia O/U 33.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
Virginia 1H O/U 12.5100%
Virginia 1H O/U 14.5100%
Virginia 1H O/U 16.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -6.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
2H Spread -8.5100%
Virginia 2H O/U 13.590%
Virginia 2H O/U 15.590%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 10.551%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 8.550%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 12.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 10.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 12.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 14.550%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 14.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 9.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 11.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 13.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 8.550%
1H Moneyline1%
4Q Moneyline1%
North Carolina State O/U 17.51%
North Carolina State O/U 20.51%
North Carolina State O/U 23.51%
North Carolina State O/U 26.51%
North Carolina State O/U 29.51%
2H Moneyline1%
North Carolina State vs. Virginia0%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 52.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -34.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
Virginia O/U 34.50%
O/U 50.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of north carolina state vs. virginia. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 3:30PM ET: If North Carolina State wins, the market will resolve to "North Carolina State". If Virginia wins, the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread: Virginia (-5.5) at 100% for "North Carolina State vs. Virginia".

Spread: Virginia (-5.5) 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $345K.

Methodology

This page reviews North Carolina State vs. Virginia across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
and

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Related Topics

Sports