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Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Completed Match 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $361K Liquidity: $219K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 1 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Match O/U 21.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Match O/U 22.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to mubadala citi dc open, qualification: mackenzie mcdonald vs trevor svajda. This market refers to the tennis match between Mackenzie McDonald and Trevor Svajda in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page reviews Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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