Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots | 98% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assists | 97% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots | 80% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Yahia Fofana: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Egil Selvik: 2+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 5+ saves | 49% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots | 49% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots | 49% |
| Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots | 49% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ shots | 49% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 3+ saves | 47% |
| Egil Selvik: 4+ saves | 47% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots | 44% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target | 24% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals | 21% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals | 20% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals | 20% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals | 20% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals | 20% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals | 20% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals | 20% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals | 20% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ assists | 20% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ assists | 20% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ assists | 20% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assists | 20% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ assists | 20% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ assists | 20% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ assists | 20% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ assists | 20% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ assists | 20% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals | 11% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots | 10% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals | 9% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals | 8% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots | 8% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals | 7% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals | 7% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | 6% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals | 5% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ assists | 5% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals | 4% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ assists | 4% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots | 3% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 5+ shots | 3% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals | 2% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals | 2% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots | 2% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists | 1% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists | 1% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists | 1% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ assists | 1% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ assists | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of côte d'ivoire vs. norway - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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