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Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Ends in Daytime 90% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 75% Volume: $339K Liquidity: $451K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?75%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Game 2 Winner31%
Match Winner15%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between REKONIX and Vici Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World… on Kalshi Fees

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