Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| O/U 64.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| USC 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| USC 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| O/U 66.5 | 99% |
| San Jose State vs. USC | 0% |
| Spread: USC (-38.5) | 0% |
| Spread -39.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| O/U 70.5 | 0% |
| O/U 72.5 | 0% |
| O/U 74.5 | 0% |
| O/U 76.5 | 0% |
| O/U 78.5 | 0% |
| O/U 80.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| USC 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| USC 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| USC 2H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| USC 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| USC 2H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| USC O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| USC 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| USC 1H O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
Market context
San Jose State vs. USC. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-29T19:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $146K.
Methodology
This page reviews San Jose State vs. USC across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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