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Florida State vs. Alabama

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Florida State vs. Alabama" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1Q Moneyline 100% O/U 30.5 100% O/U 32.5 100% 1H O/U 20.5 100% Volume: $1.0M Liquidity: $535K Closes: 19 Sept 2026
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Florida State vs. Alabama

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Moneyline100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
1H O/U 23.5100%
1H O/U 26.5100%
1H O/U 29.5100%
1H O/U 32.5100%
1Q O/U 4.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
1Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 8.5100%
2Q O/U 11.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
Florida State O/U 8.5100%
Florida State O/U 11.5100%
Florida State O/U 14.5100%
Florida State O/U 17.5100%
Florida State O/U 20.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 5.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 7.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 9.5100%
O/U 36.598%
O/U 42.597%
O/U 48.592%
O/U 50.590%
O/U 52.580%
O/U 54.579%
4Q O/U 13.571%
1H Moneyline70%
O/U 56.568%
3Q O/U 12.567%
O/U 58.562%
4Q Spread -2.561%
O/U 60.560%
3Q Spread -2.557%
4Q O/U 7.557%
4Q O/U 10.556%
Alabama O/U 34.554%
Spread -2.553%
4Q Spread -3.552%
O/U 38.551%
O/U 40.551%
O/U 62.551%
2H Spread -8.551%
3Q Spread -3.551%
3Q Spread -5.551%
4Q Spread -4.551%
Alabama O/U 37.551%
2H Moneyline50%
Florida State O/U 1.550%
Alabama O/U 4.550%
Daniel Hill: Anytime Touchdown50%
Keelon Russell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ryan Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ousmane Kromah: Anytime Touchdown50%
EJ Crowell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lotzeir Brooks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ashton Daniels: Anytime Touchdown50%
Trae'shawn Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Samuel Singleton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Duce Robinson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Rico Scott: Anytime Touchdown50%
Micahi Danzy: Anytime Touchdown50%
Derek Meadows: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kaleb Edwards: Anytime Touchdown50%
Marshall Pritchett: Anytime Touchdown50%
Quintrevion Wisner: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jayvan Boggs: Anytime Touchdown50%
Devin Carter: Anytime Touchdown50%
Desirrio Riles: Anytime Touchdown50%
Landen Thomas: Anytime Touchdown50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -26.550%
Spread -28.550%
Spread -34.550%
Spread -36.550%
Spread -37.550%
Spread -40.550%
O/U 34.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 46.550%
1H Spread -8.550%
1H Spread -11.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -11.550%
2H O/U 17.550%
2H O/U 20.550%
2H O/U 23.550%
2H O/U 26.550%
2H O/U 29.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -9.550%
2Q O/U 17.550%
2Q O/U 20.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Alabama O/U 28.550%
Alabama O/U 31.550%
Alabama O/U 40.550%
Alabama 1H O/U 15.550%
Alabama 1H O/U 17.550%
Alabama 1H O/U 19.550%
Florida State 2H O/U 4.550%
Florida State 2H O/U 6.550%
Florida State 2H O/U 8.550%
Alabama 2H O/U 13.550%
Alabama 2H O/U 15.550%
Alabama 2H O/U 17.550%
3Q Spread -4.548%
Spread -3.547%
O/U 64.547%
2Q Spread -2.547%
O/U 66.546%
2Q Spread -6.542%
Florida State vs. Alabama41%
4Q Spread -7.541%
O/U 68.538%
2Q Spread -7.538%
Spread -5.537%
O/U 70.536%
Spread -6.534%
Spread -18.530%
Spread -19.530%
Spread -25.530%
3Q Spread -7.527%
Spread -12.526%
Spread -9.524%
Spread -11.517%
Spread -17.515%
Spread -13.514%
Spread -14.511%
Spread -16.58%
Spread -20.56%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -24.55%
Spread -23.54%
Spread -30.54%
Spread -33.53%
1H Spread -6.53%
1H Spread -9.53%
1H Spread -10.53%
1H Spread -13.53%
Spread -27.52%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to florida state vs. alabama. In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Alabama, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This market…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Moneyline at 100% for "Florida State vs. Alabama".

1Q Moneyline 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.0M.

Methodology

We track Florida State vs. Alabama across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports