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Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO5) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO5) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 83% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5) 75% Map 3 Winner 66% Volume: $45K Liquidity: $196K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO5) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner83%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)75%
Map 3 Winner66%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 4 Winner50%
O/U 3.5 Games50%
O/U 4.5 Games50%
Map Handicap: RC (-1.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+1.5)50%
Map Handicap: RC (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)50%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Winner44%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.525%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO5) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between REJECT and QT DIG∞ in the VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 26 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "RE…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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