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LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% Any Player Penta Kill 53% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 51% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $282K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Game 1 Winner50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Match Winner48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?48%
Game 2 Winner47%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor18%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 78% probability to lol: top esports vs anyone's legend (bo3) - lpl group ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 29 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esp…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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