🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogPlace a position →

LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% O/U 4.5 Games 83% Volume: $1.6M Liquidity: $993K Closes: 10 Oct 2026
Open live market →
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
O/U 4.5 Games83%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?77%
Match Winner59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 4?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors45%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Any Player Penta Kill44%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?23%
Game 4 Winner17%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)17%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)0%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between LOS and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees.

See all markets →