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Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 61% Map 1 Winner 59% Map 2 Winner 55% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $365K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner61%
Map 1 Winner59%
Map 2 Winner55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)43%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)42%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)36%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)34%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier prediction market currently prices this outcome at 61% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between NIP and paiN in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 26 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP w…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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