Highest temperature in Singapore on August 6?

Platform comparison

Market context

Singapore’s **highest temperature** for the day is normally driven by a tight tropical range rather than a broad heatwave swing, and the market resolves from the warmest reading at Singapore Changi Airport Station on 6 August 2026. August climatology for Singapore clusters around the high 20s to low 30s Celsius: long-run guides put daytime highs near 30–31°C, with typical lows in the mid-20s, while AccuWeather’s August outlook shows daily highs mostly in the 84–88°F band, which is roughly 29–31°C.[13][15][1]

That narrow distribution explains why a 0% crowd-implied “YES” can still be mechanically meaningful for traders running automated entries or conditional orders: the relevant question is not whether Singapore gets hot, but whether the station’s recorded maximum lands in the market’s specific temperature bucket. Historical and seasonal references also point to frequent humidity, cloud and shower activity in August, which can cap extremes and make the exact top reading sensitive to the timing of brief sunny intervals or thunderstorms.[6][5][13]

For live trading, the key inputs are the day’s forecast highs, rainfall timing, and any late-morning or early-afternoon convection that could suppress the maximum before the settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC. Current near-term forecasts show Singapore around 31°C with elevated humidity and some chance of rain, alongside wider August forecasts that keep highs concentrated around 29–31°C.[2][4][1] Programmatically, a trader would usually map the forecast high to the market’s bins, then monitor the Wunderground daily history page for the station’s final maximum once observations are published, rather than relying on headline city weather alone.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.