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Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 2 O/U 8.5 91% Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 2 O/U 9.5 91% Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 2 Winner 86% Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 84% Volume: $216K Liquidity: $173K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 2 O/U 8.591%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 2 O/U 9.591%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 2 Winner86%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Total Sets: O/U 2.584%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Match O/U 21.584%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Match O/U 22.564%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson50%
Completed Match50%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Match O/U 23.546%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Game Spread +/-4.510%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 1 Winner0%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 91% chance of singapore open: maria sakkari vs talia gibson. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Talia Gibson in the Singapore Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page reviews Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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