Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Livesport Prague Open qualification round will feature Australian wildcard Priscilla Hon against South Korean qualifier Carol Young Suh Lee on 19 July 2026. Hon, ranked outside the top 200, competes primarily on the ITF circuit and has limited WTA main-draw experience. Suh Lee, similarly ranked in the 150s–200s range, has shown modest progression through lower-tier tournaments. Both players are fighting for one of the remaining spots in the main draw of this mid-tier WTA 250 event, making qualification outcomes highly dependent on form across a compressed schedule.
The 0% implied probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than settled conviction. Qualification matches at Prague historically produce tight contests between players of comparable ranking; neither competitor holds clear statistical advantage in head-to-head records or recent tournament performance. Traders automating position entry should flag that qualification draws often shuffle late, with walkovers or withdrawals reshaping brackets. The settlement window extends to 26 July, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date—sufficient buffer for rescheduling if weather or injury disrupts the initial fixture.
Watch for official Prague tournament updates on player withdrawals or injury announcements, typically posted 48–72 hours before matches. Programmatic monitoring of WTA and ITF ranking shifts in the fortnight before the event provides marginal edge; recent form on European clay courts matters disproportionately. Conditional order logic should account for the 50–50 tie-break clause, which activates if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon … on Kalshi Fees
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