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Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula

Five-platform snapshot of "Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 1 O/U 8.5 69% Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula 57% Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 1 Winner 56% Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 Winner 56% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $228K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 1 O/U 8.569%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula57%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 1 Winner56%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 Winner56%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 21.552%
Completed Match50%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Game Spread +/-1.550%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 1 O/U 9.548%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 22.546%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 23.544%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set Handicap +/-1.536%
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Set 1 O/U 10.526%

Market context

The Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula prediction market currently prices this outcome at 69% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Coco Gauff and Jessica Pegula in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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