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US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic 62% US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set 2 Winner 60% US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set 1 Winner 58% Completed Match 50% Volume: $78K Liquidity: $46K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic62%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set 2 Winner60%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set 1 Winner58%
Completed Match50%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set 1 O/U 8.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Match O/U 21.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Game Spread +/-1.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Match O/U 23.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Set 1 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic Match O/U 22.546%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open wta: ann li vs donna vekic stands at 62% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Donna Vekic in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'An…

Methodology

This page reviews US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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