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ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada

Five-platform snapshot of "ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $79K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 2 Winner100%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Match O/U 21.5100%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Match O/U 22.5100%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Match O/U 23.5100%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada0%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 1 Winner0%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set Handicap +/-1.50%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 1 O/U 9.50%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 2 O/U 9.50%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 1 O/U 10.50%
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada. This market refers to the tennis match between Shihomi Li Xuan Leong and Riko Kikawada in the ITF Women Luan, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shihom…

Methodology

This page reviews ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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