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US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 3.5 100% US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $111K Liquidity: $167K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 3.5100%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 36.590%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Game Spread +/-7.588%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 38.512%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul1%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner0%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 3 Winner0%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-2.50%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 3 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul Set 3 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open atp: coleman wong vs tommy paul. This market refers to the tennis match between Coleman Wong and Tommy Paul in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Co…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade US Open ATP: Coleman Wong vs Tommy Paul on Kalshi Fees

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Related Topics

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