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US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet 100% Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set 1 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $117K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet100%
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set 2 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Game Spread +/-3.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Match O/U 21.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Match O/U 22.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Match O/U 23.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open, qualification atp: otto virtanen vs ugo blanchet stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Otto Virtanen and Ugo Blanchet in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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