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San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Five-platform snapshot of "San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez 100% Completed Match 100% San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 Winner 100% San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $319K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez100%
Completed Match100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 Winner100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Match O/U 21.5100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Match O/U 22.5100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Match O/U 23.5100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Game Spread +/-0.5100%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 Winner0%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 10.50%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 O/U 10.50%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set Handicap +/-1.50%
San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez. This market refers to the tennis match between Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Federico Agustin Gomez in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page reviews San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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