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Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner 100% Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $384K Liquidity: $264K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner100%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.598%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Total Sets: O/U 2.594%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.575%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 23.575%
Completed Match50%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges28%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set Handicap +/-1.56%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set Handicap +/-1.55%
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges Set 2 Winner4%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of canadian open: aleksandar kovacevic vs nuno borges. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Nuno Borges in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

We track Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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