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Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras

Five-platform snapshot of "Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Match O/U 21.5 100% Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $104K Closes: 25 Aug 2026
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Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Match O/U 21.5100%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras0%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set 2 Winner0%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set 1 Winner0%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Match O/U 22.50%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Match O/U 23.50%
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to sion: gerard campana lee vs alex marti pujolras. This market refers to the tennis match between Gerard Campana Lee and Alex Marti Pujolras in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gerard Campa…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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