Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone Game Spread +/-0.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of winston-salem open: james duckworth vs mariano navone. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Mariano Navone in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market wil…
Methodology
This page reviews Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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