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Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.5 91% Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5 60% Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5 55% Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 9.5 53% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $203K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.591%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.560%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.555%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 9.553%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 Winner51%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego50%
Completed Match50%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 Winner47%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 22.547%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-1.544%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Total Sets: O/U 2.540%
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.530%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to chengdu open: jenson brooksby vs lorenzo sonego. This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Lorenzo Sonego in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jenson B…

Methodology

This page reviews Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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