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National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry

Five-platform snapshot of "National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 1 O/U 8.5 84% National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry 62% National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Match O/U 21.5 61% National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 2 Winner 59% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $407K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 1 O/U 8.584%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry62%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Match O/U 21.561%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 2 Winner59%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 1 Winner57%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 1 O/U 9.556%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Match O/U 22.553%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Match O/U 23.547%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set Handicap +/-1.538%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set 1 O/U 10.535%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Set Handicap +/-1.523%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, national bank open: nuno borges vs tomas etcheverry stands at 84% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Tomas Etcheverry in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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