Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Match O/U 21.5 | 90% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 90% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Match O/U 22.5 | 90% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Match O/U 23.5 | 90% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu | 40% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 6% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of us open, qualification wta: tamara zidansek vs bianca andreescu. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Tamara Zidansek and Bianca Andreescu in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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