Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Set 2 Winner | 73% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens | 50% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 24% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to the memphis classic: yulia starodubtseva vs sloane stephens. This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Starodubtseva and Sloane Stephens in the The Memphis Classic, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Y…
Methodology
We track The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephens across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane S… on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →