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Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 O/U 8.5 76% Volume: $759K Liquidity: $163K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 O/U 8.576%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova75%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Match O/U 21.575%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 O/U 9.575%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Match O/U 22.574%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 Winner56%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Match O/U 23.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set Handicap +/-1.54%
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon wta: liudmila samsonova vs marie bouzkova. This market refers to the tennis match between Liudmila Samsonova and Marie Bouzkova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Sa…

Methodology

This page reviews Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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