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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 Winner 75% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 73% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech 60% Volume: $153K Liquidity: $531K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 Winner75%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Total Sets: O/U 2.573%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech60%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 21.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 22.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 23.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set Handicap +/-1.527%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set Handicap +/-1.54%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech. This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Magdalena Frech in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jess…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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