Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 Winner | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, livesport prague open: polina kudermetova vs alina korneeva stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kudermetova and Alina Korneeva in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market…
Methodology
We track Livesport Prague Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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