How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun | Kalshifees 2026

Name: Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun
Start: 2026-08-12T04:00:21.000Z
End: 2026-08-25T23:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	71%	29%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Place a position →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	71%	29%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Place a position →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Place a position →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Place a position →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun	71%
Spread -4.5	57%
Spread -5.5	56%
O/U 168.5	55%
O/U 167.5	55%
Courtney Vandersloot: Assists O/U 4.5	55%
Courtney Vandersloot: Points O/U 8.5	51%
Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 9.5	50%
Spread -6.5	50%
Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 15.5	49%
Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 12.5	49%
Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 12.5	48%
Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5	48%
Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 10.5	44%
Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.5	40%
Natasha Cloud: Rebounds O/U 4.5	38%
Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.5	31%
Courtney Vandersloot: Assists O/U 5.5	30%
Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 13.5	25%
O/U 169.5	0%
Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 16.5	0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, chicago sky vs. connecticut sun stands at 71% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky". If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resol…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun at 71% for "Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun".

Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun 71% Other 29%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

Alex ChenPrediction Market Analystand

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun on Kalshi Fees

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