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Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 90% Volume: $188K Liquidity: $679K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 2 Winner56%
O/U 2.5 Games56%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)44%
Match Winner35%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs FUT Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs FUT Esports (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-8.5) vs FUT Esports (+8.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-7.5) vs FUT Esports (+7.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 90% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Team Liquid and FUT Esports in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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