Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5) | 99% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 53% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) | 53% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 51% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Match Winner | 22% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-8.5) vs Gentle Mates (+8.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PCFIC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: pcific esports vs gentle mates (bo3) - vct emea group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Pcific Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT… on Kalshi Fees
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