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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 100% Volume: $230K Liquidity: $546K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.575%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-7.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-8.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between KRÜ Esports and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This marke…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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